NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH ARIZ
Points 76.7 89.3
Total Points   166.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 48.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 22.4
Points From Free Throws 12.3 18.6
Shooting WASH ARIZ
Field Goals Made 28.2 31.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 65.3
Field Goal % 44.3% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 12.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 26.2
Free Throw % 71.5% 71.0%
Ball Control WASH ARIZ
Rebounds 32.2 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 13.1
Turnovers 12.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.9
Steals 5.5 7.6
Fouls 17.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH ARIZ
Total Possessions 78.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 81.4
% of Possessions with WASH ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 22.0%
Player Fouled 20.4% 22.1%
Turnover 15.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH ARIZ
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 34.4%