NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST BRAD
Points 64.9 75.7
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.2 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 34.2
Points From Free Throws 13.3 9.9
Shooting SDST BRAD
Field Goals Made 21.9 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 57.8
Field Goal % 40.2% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 13.4
Free Throw % 73.3% 74.3%
Ball Control SDST BRAD
Rebounds 32.3 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 8.3
Turnovers 11.4 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.3
Steals 5.5 7.3
Fouls 11.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST BRAD
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 66.5
% of Possessions with SDST BRAD
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 38.2%
Player Fouled 22.0% 17.1%
Turnover 16.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST BRAD
Shot Blocked 7.6% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 25.6%