NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST UND
Points 75.2 69.6
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 28.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 29.5
Points From Free Throws 11.7 11.2
Shooting SDST UND
Field Goals Made 28.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 59.8
Field Goal % 49.1% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 11.7 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 15.6
Free Throw % 73.3% 71.7%
Ball Control SDST UND
Rebounds 34.8 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.8
Turnovers 9.5 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.9
Steals 5.3 6.3
Fouls 13.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST UND
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 69.6
% of Possessions with SDST UND
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 37.2%
Player Fouled 20.9% 18.8%
Turnover 13.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST UND
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 25.8%