NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST MONT
Points 74.9 74.4
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 31.4
Points From Free Throws 14.1 10.5
Shooting SDST MONT
Field Goals Made 27.0 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.9
Field Goal % 48.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 13.1
Free Throw % 73.3% 80.1%
Ball Control SDST MONT
Rebounds 33.0 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 6.6
Turnovers 8.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.9
Steals 5.1 4.5
Fouls 12.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST MONT
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 65.7
% of Possessions with SDST MONT
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 37.0%
Player Fouled 22.7% 18.0%
Turnover 11.9% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST MONT
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 20.2%