NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST WVU
Points 74.7 75.9
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 30.7
Points From Free Throws 11.6 12.6
Shooting SDST WVU
Field Goals Made 26.2 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 56.7
Field Goal % 45.1% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 18.0
Free Throw % 73.3% 70.4%
Ball Control SDST WVU
Rebounds 32.4 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.9
Turnovers 10.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.5
Steals 5.9 4.8
Fouls 14.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST WVU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 67.7
% of Possessions with SDST WVU
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 32.7%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.5%
Turnover 14.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST WVU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 23.9%