NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST WICH
Points 73.0 72.2
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 22.4
Points From Free Throws 11.3 9.8
Shooting SDST WICH
Field Goals Made 26.6 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 61.0
Field Goal % 44.3% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 11.3 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 14.1
Free Throw % 73.3% 69.7%
Ball Control SDST WICH
Rebounds 34.2 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.4
Turnovers 9.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.1
Steals 6.1 6.7
Fouls 11.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST WICH
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 69.7
% of Possessions with SDST WICH
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 26.7%
Player Fouled 19.7% 15.9%
Turnover 13.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST WICH
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 26.5%