NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST STT
Points 70.9 69.0
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 25.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 33.6
Points From Free Throws 10.9 9.8
Shooting SDST STT
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 54.4
Field Goal % 50.5% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 12.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 23.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 10.9 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 13.7
Free Throw % 73.3% 71.9%
Ball Control SDST STT
Rebounds 32.0 28.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 6.1
Turnovers 10.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 1.8
Steals 4.7 6.3
Fouls 13.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST STT
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 60.7 62.6
% of Possessions with SDST STT
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 32.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 42.1%
Player Fouled 23.4% 19.7%
Turnover 16.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST STT
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 18.8%