NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST IDHO
Points 74.9 64.6
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 26.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 29.9
Points From Free Throws 14.4 8.5
Shooting SDST IDHO
Field Goals Made 26.3 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 56.0
Field Goal % 49.7% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 11.4
Free Throw % 73.3% 74.3%
Ball Control SDST IDHO
Rebounds 34.6 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.2
Turnovers 9.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.1
Steals 5.8 5.2
Fouls 11.4 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST IDHO
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 62.7
% of Possessions with SDST IDHO
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 38.3%
Player Fouled 25.0% 16.9%
Turnover 14.1% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST IDHO
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 18.0%