NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST ARIZ
Points 68.2 88.0
Total Points   156.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 28.9
Points From Free Throws 10.4 14.7
Shooting SDST ARIZ
Field Goals Made 24.7 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 62.6
Field Goal % 41.5% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 10.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 20.6
Free Throw % 73.3% 71.0%
Ball Control SDST ARIZ
Rebounds 28.9 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 11.3
Turnovers 12.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.4
Steals 5.3 8.8
Fouls 14.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST ARIZ
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 75.5
% of Possessions with SDST ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 28.7%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.8%
Turnover 16.7% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST ARIZ
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 16.6% 33.1%