NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU BUT
Points 62.2 78.0
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 24.7
Points From Free Throws 8.3 19.4
Shooting SOU BUT
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 52.4
Field Goal % 39.9% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 8.3 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 12.8 24.2
Free Throw % 65.3% 80.1%
Ball Control SOU BUT
Rebounds 30.3 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 7.9
Turnovers 12.3 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.9
Steals 8.2 5.2
Fouls 17.9 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Butler

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU BUT
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 67.0
% of Possessions with SOU BUT
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 27.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 24.9%
Turnover 17.1% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU BUT
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 26.5%