NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU USF
Points 63.3 80.3
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 25.2
Points From Free Throws 11.3 14.0
Shooting INDPU USF
Field Goals Made 22.2 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 58.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 11.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 21.1
Free Throw % 64.0% 66.1%
Ball Control INDPU USF
Rebounds 28.5 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 13.1
Turnovers 14.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.0
Steals 5.2 7.2
Fouls 15.7 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU USF
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 72.8
% of Possessions with INDPU USF
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.4%
Turnover 20.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU USF
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 38.5%