NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU BALL
Points 63.9 78.1
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 9.6 23.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 17.9
Shooting INDPU BALL
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 52.1
Field Goal % 42.9% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 3.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 12.5 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 12.2 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 23.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 77.8%
Ball Control INDPU BALL
Rebounds 29.1 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.0
Turnovers 12.5 12.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 7.6 5.4
Fouls 18.1 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU BALL
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 66.7
% of Possessions with INDPU BALL
2 Point Attempt 54.4% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 15.5% 24.6%
Player Fouled 18.4% 25.8%
Turnover 17.7% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU BALL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 31.2%