NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA CCU
Points 79.9 76.6
Total Points   156.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 18.1
Points From Free Throws 13.4 13.5
Shooting USA CCU
Field Goals Made 28.1 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 60.0
Field Goal % 44.5% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.5
Free Throw % 74.7% 69.4%
Ball Control USA CCU
Rebounds 32.3 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.7
Turnovers 8.1 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.0
Steals 7.4 5.0
Fouls 14.1 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA CCU
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 72.1
% of Possessions with USA CCU
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 23.0%
Player Fouled 18.0% 18.9%
Turnover 10.9% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA CCU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 27.8%