NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU NEB
Points 60.4 78.9
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 27.1
Points From Free Throws 10.0 20.9
Shooting SOU NEB
Field Goals Made 21.6 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 51.2
Field Goal % 37.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 26.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.8% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 10.0 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 27.5
Free Throw % 65.3% 76.0%
Ball Control SOU NEB
Rebounds 30.9 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.8
Turnovers 12.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.2
Steals 6.8 5.4
Fouls 18.4 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU NEB
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 67.9
% of Possessions with SOU NEB
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 32.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 30.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 25.8%
Turnover 17.5% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU NEB
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 29.0%