NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU UIC
Points 60.0 80.4
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 7.7 28.8
Points From Free Throws 15.3 12.0
Shooting INDPU UIC
Field Goals Made 21.0 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 56.6
Field Goal % 39.0% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 2.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 11.1 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 23.2% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 15.3 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 17.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 68.8%
Ball Control INDPU UIC
Rebounds 30.4 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.6
Turnovers 14.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.5
Steals 7.4 6.8
Fouls 14.2 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU UIC
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 67.8
% of Possessions with INDPU UIC
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 13.4% 29.0%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.8%
Turnover 19.6% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU UIC
Shot Blocked 9.8% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 28.3%