NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU MILW
Points 68.0 87.0
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 46.7
Points From 3-Pointers 10.4 22.9
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.3
Shooting INDPU MILW
Field Goals Made 24.6 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 59.7
Field Goal % 41.8% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 23.4
2 Pointers Attempted 44.9 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 3.5 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 24.7% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 23.6
Free Throw % 72.7% 73.5%
Ball Control INDPU MILW
Rebounds 28.7 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.1 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 14.2
Turnovers 12.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.4
Steals 6.9 5.8
Fouls 16.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Milwkee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU MILW
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 75.1
% of Possessions with INDPU MILW
2 Point Attempt 52.5% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 16.4% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.7%
Turnover 16.4% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU MILW
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 43.9%