NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA ULL
Points 71.7 80.0
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 18.8
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.9
Shooting USA ULL
Field Goals Made 25.4 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 62.2
Field Goal % 45.5% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 18.9
Free Throw % 74.7% 73.6%
Ball Control USA ULL
Rebounds 31.0 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 10.9
Turnovers 12.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.5
Steals 6.0 7.6
Fouls 14.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA ULL
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 74.1
% of Possessions with USA ULL
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 19.2%
Turnover 17.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA ULL
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 31.1%