NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU WRST
Points 70.1 93.0
Total Points   163.2
Points From 2-Pointers 45.6 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 11.1 21.2
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.5
Shooting INDPU WRST
Field Goals Made 26.5 34.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.3
Field Goal % 46.4% 60.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 67.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 43.5%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 21.9
Free Throw % 72.7% 75.6%
Ball Control INDPU WRST
Rebounds 25.6 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 16.8 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.0
Turnovers 13.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.4
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 17.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU WRST
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 71.1
% of Possessions with INDPU WRST
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 16.2% 19.4%
Player Fouled 18.4% 23.2%
Turnover 18.6% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU WRST
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 34.8%