NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU DETU
Points 68.3 73.7
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.6 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 10.0 18.7
Points From Free Throws 13.7 14.0
Shooting INDPU DETU
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 53.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 12.8 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.2% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 13.7 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 18.9
Free Throw % 72.7% 74.1%
Ball Control INDPU DETU
Rebounds 30.7 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.2
Turnovers 13.8 13.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.3
Steals 6.4 7.7
Fouls 15.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU DETU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 66.1
% of Possessions with INDPU DETU
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 15.8% 24.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.6%
Turnover 19.7% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU DETU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 30.6%