NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU CLEVST
Points 64.2 81.5
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 48.9
Points From 3-Pointers 8.3 19.4
Points From Free Throws 15.3 13.2
Shooting INDPU CLEVST
Field Goals Made 23.1 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 61.3
Field Goal % 44.2% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 2.8 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 12.6 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 22.0% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.3 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 20.1
Free Throw % 72.7% 65.8%
Ball Control INDPU CLEVST
Rebounds 30.1 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.8
Turnovers 14.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.2
Steals 5.4 8.3
Fouls 14.7 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU CLEVST
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 74.5
% of Possessions with INDPU CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 15.5% 22.1%
Player Fouled 21.9% 20.9%
Turnover 20.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU CLEVST
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 40.0%