NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN MONM
Points 66.7 77.1
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 22.7
Points From Free Throws 10.0 13.1
Shooting MAN MONM
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 61.1
Field Goal % 40.5% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 10.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 18.3
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.6%
Ball Control MAN MONM
Rebounds 33.4 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.4
Turnovers 11.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.1
Steals 5.8 7.6
Fouls 12.5 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN MONM
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 72.3
% of Possessions with MAN MONM
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 24.9%
Player Fouled 17.4% 17.9%
Turnover 16.8% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN MONM
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 32.0%