NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN NIAG
Points 69.2 74.5
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 19.4
Points From Free Throws 9.6 13.3
Shooting MAN NIAG
Field Goals Made 27.0 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 55.1
Field Goal % 46.9% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 9.6 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 17.9
Free Throw % 73.2% 74.1%
Ball Control MAN NIAG
Rebounds 29.8 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.0
Turnovers 10.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.3
Steals 7.2 6.0
Fouls 14.1 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN NIAG
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 65.8
% of Possessions with MAN NIAG
2 Point Attempt 52.5% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 21.9%
Player Fouled 16.6% 20.2%
Turnover 15.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN NIAG
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 23.1%