NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KU STJOE
Points 77.5 70.8
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 47.1 25.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 33.9
Points From Free Throws 12.4 11.4
Shooting KU STJOE
Field Goals Made 29.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 60.3
Field Goal % 49.3% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.5 12.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 12.4 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 15.9
Free Throw % 71.4% 71.9%
Ball Control KU STJOE
Rebounds 38.8 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.5
Turnovers 10.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.7
Steals 6.8 6.2
Fouls 12.5 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KU STJOE
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 69.5
% of Possessions with KU STJOE
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 35.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 38.4%
Player Fouled 18.1% 17.5%
Turnover 14.0% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken KU STJOE
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 22.4%