NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC DRKE
Points 64.6 77.8
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 20.4
Points From Free Throws 12.5 20.3
Shooting KC DRKE
Field Goals Made 22.2 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 52.1
Field Goal % 39.1% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 12.5 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 27.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 74.8%
Ball Control KC DRKE
Rebounds 33.6 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.1
Turnovers 12.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.5
Steals 4.8 6.0
Fouls 19.7 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC DRKE
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 68.1
% of Possessions with KC DRKE
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 25.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 27.6%
Turnover 17.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 19.8%