NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC KU
Points 60.8 78.1
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 21.5 45.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 14.4
Points From Free Throws 11.7 18.3
Shooting KC KU
Field Goals Made 19.9 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 52.2
Field Goal % 34.2% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made 10.7 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 36.8% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 11.7 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 25.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 71.4%
Ball Control KC KU
Rebounds 31.4 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 6.8
Turnovers 12.0 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 5.1 6.7
Fouls 18.1 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC KU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 67.6
% of Possessions with KC KU
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 18.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 25.5%
Turnover 16.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC KU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 23.3%