NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC CALBA
Points 65.6 64.8
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 16.5
Points From Free Throws 11.3 18.5
Shooting KC CALBA
Field Goals Made 24.0 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 50.7
Field Goal % 42.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 11.3 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 26.6
Free Throw % 72.1% 69.6%
Ball Control KC CALBA
Rebounds 33.9 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.1
Turnovers 9.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.0
Steals 4.5 3.6
Fouls 18.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC CALBA
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 66.6
% of Possessions with KC CALBA
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 23.1%
Player Fouled 21.9% 27.6%
Turnover 14.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC CALBA
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 26.1%