NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI PRE
Points 68.5 79.6
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 19.8
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.1
Shooting VMI PRE
Field Goals Made 24.7 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 60.1
Field Goal % 44.0% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 22.9
Free Throw % 70.4% 66.0%
Ball Control VMI PRE
Rebounds 34.0 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.1
Turnovers 14.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 5.1 9.1
Fouls 16.5 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI PRE
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 74.1
% of Possessions with VMI PRE
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 22.9%
Player Fouled 20.3% 21.9%
Turnover 19.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI PRE
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 25.5%