NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI ETSU
Points 63.1 80.6
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 24.9
Points From Free Throws 13.0 15.4
Shooting VMI ETSU
Field Goals Made 22.4 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 64.9
Field Goal % 39.3% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 23.4
Free Throw % 70.4% 66.1%
Ball Control VMI ETSU
Rebounds 33.5 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 15.4
Turnovers 15.2 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.8
Steals 5.1 9.3
Fouls 14.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI ETSU
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 80.1
% of Possessions with VMI ETSU
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 27.5%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.1%
Turnover 20.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI ETSU
Shot Blocked 9.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 37.6%