NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI CIT
Points 67.9 79.5
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 45.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 19.4
Points From Free Throws 8.7 14.5
Shooting VMI CIT
Field Goals Made 26.5 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 59.4
Field Goal % 44.7% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 8.7 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 20.2
Free Throw % 70.4% 71.4%
Ball Control VMI CIT
Rebounds 31.4 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 8.8
Turnovers 13.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 5.4 7.1
Fouls 15.0 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI CIT
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 71.7
% of Possessions with VMI CIT
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 23.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 20.5%
Turnover 18.2% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI CIT
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 26.4%