NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI PORT
Points 70.9 80.6
Total Points   151.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 29.1
Points From Free Throws 7.9 13.5
Shooting VMI PORT
Field Goals Made 27.2 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 64.3 61.3
Field Goal % 42.2% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 27.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 7.9 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 11.3 19.0
Free Throw % 70.4% 70.9%
Ball Control VMI PORT
Rebounds 34.9 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.6
Turnovers 10.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.2
Steals 4.8 5.3
Fouls 15.9 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI PORT
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 73.1
% of Possessions with VMI PORT
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 32.3%
Player Fouled 15.9% 21.3%
Turnover 14.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI PORT
Shot Blocked 3.6% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 24.0%