NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU ARMY
Points 66.2 66.4
Total Points   132.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 26.4
Points From Free Throws 14.0 8.8
Shooting FDU ARMY
Field Goals Made 22.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 56.2
Field Goal % 39.4% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 14.7
Free Throw % 69.4% 60.0%
Ball Control FDU ARMY
Rebounds 33.9 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.7
Turnovers 9.5 13.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.7
Steals 7.8 5.1
Fouls 14.2 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU ARMY
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 66.1
% of Possessions with FDU ARMY
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 32.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.4%
Turnover 13.6% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU ARMY
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 27.6%