NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU QUIN
Points 69.6 84.6
Total Points   154.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 26.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.3
Shooting FDU QUIN
Field Goals Made 24.0 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 63.7
Field Goal % 39.2% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 18.7
Free Throw % 69.4% 76.5%
Ball Control FDU QUIN
Rebounds 32.0 43.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.7
Turnovers 11.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 7.0 6.7
Fouls 14.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU QUIN
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 76.0
% of Possessions with FDU QUIN
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.8%
Turnover 15.0% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU QUIN
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 35.9%