NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL PUR
Points 57.2 89.4
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 27.0
Points From Free Throws 5.9 19.7
Shooting BELL PUR
Field Goals Made 22.2 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 55.8
Field Goal % 36.2% 54.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.8% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 5.9 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 7.8 27.0
Free Throw % 75.6% 73.0%
Ball Control BELL PUR
Rebounds 22.9 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 17.6 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 12.3
Turnovers 8.3 8.0
Blocked Shots 1.1 2.9
Steals 4.3 4.2
Fouls 18.2 9.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL PUR
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 72.9
% of Possessions with BELL PUR
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 13.8% 26.6%
Turnover 12.1% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL PUR
Shot Blocked 5.3% 1.8%
Offensive Rebound 13.5% 41.3%