NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCF TULN
Points 79.7 70.0
Total Points   149.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 19.4
Points From Free Throws 17.5 21.7
Shooting UCF TULN
Field Goals Made 26.9 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 50.9
Field Goal % 43.1% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 17.5 21.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 30.4
Free Throw % 68.6% 71.6%
Ball Control UCF TULN
Rebounds 43.2 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 5.2
Turnovers 10.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.1
Steals 7.8 6.0
Fouls 19.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCF TULN
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 78.4 67.7
% of Possessions with UCF TULN
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 22.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 26.1%
Turnover 14.0% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCF TULN
Shot Blocked 6.2% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 15.1%