NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL STET
Points 69.8 77.2
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 29.7
Points From Free Throws 8.1 14.5
Shooting BELL STET
Field Goals Made 27.1 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 56.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 8.1 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 10.7 19.3
Free Throw % 75.6% 75.1%
Ball Control BELL STET
Rebounds 31.6 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.2
Turnovers 7.3 8.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.5
Steals 4.1 3.7
Fouls 15.0 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL STET
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 68.1
% of Possessions with BELL STET
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 35.6%
Player Fouled 16.5% 22.1%
Turnover 10.7% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL STET
Shot Blocked 4.4% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 25.3%