NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU MSM
Points 68.0 79.2
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 24.2
Points From Free Throws 13.6 11.2
Shooting FDU MSM
Field Goals Made 23.5 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.8
Field Goal % 38.5% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 13.6 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 15.6
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.9%
Ball Control FDU MSM
Rebounds 30.9 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.3
Turnovers 10.7 14.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.7
Steals 9.4 5.9
Fouls 14.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU MSM
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 70.4
% of Possessions with FDU MSM
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.2% 18.7%
Turnover 14.4% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 12.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU MSM
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 31.9%