NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU SPU
Points 62.8 72.7
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 20.9
Points From Free Throws 17.4 16.7
Shooting FDU SPU
Field Goals Made 19.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 56.7
Field Goal % 37.2% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 17.4 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 23.5
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.2%
Ball Control FDU SPU
Rebounds 31.7 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.1
Turnovers 12.1 12.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 17.5 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU SPU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 72.1
% of Possessions with FDU SPU
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 21.9%
Player Fouled 25.8% 24.5%
Turnover 16.9% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU SPU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 36.3%