NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU FOR
Points 65.7 80.8
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 28.8
Points From Free Throws 18.1 15.1
Shooting FDU FOR
Field Goals Made 20.9 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 62.1
Field Goal % 38.1% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.9% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 18.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 22.5
Free Throw % 69.4% 67.2%
Ball Control FDU FOR
Rebounds 32.1 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 14.0
Turnovers 13.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.4
Steals 6.3 7.4
Fouls 16.9 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU FOR
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 77.0
% of Possessions with FDU FOR
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 30.6%
Player Fouled 24.8% 22.5%
Turnover 17.2% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU FOR
Shot Blocked 8.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 36.5%