NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL UK
Points 65.9 95.3
Total Points   161.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 32.7
Points From Free Throws 10.1 16.9
Shooting BELL UK
Field Goals Made 23.8 33.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 61.4
Field Goal % 37.2% 55.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 64.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 42.0%
Free Throws Made 10.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 21.6
Free Throw % 75.6% 78.2%
Ball Control BELL UK
Rebounds 28.3 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 8.8
Turnovers 9.9 8.1
Blocked Shots 1.4 5.7
Steals 4.2 5.6
Fouls 15.6 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL UK
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 74.7
% of Possessions with BELL UK
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 31.1%
Player Fouled 16.6% 21.0%
Turnover 13.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL UK
Shot Blocked 9.3% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 16.2% 28.8%