NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG MORG
Points 80.5 68.6
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 43.9 43.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 12.2
Points From Free Throws 19.4 13.4
Shooting LONG MORG
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 55.0
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 27.8%
Free Throws Made 19.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 17.8
Free Throw % 68.6% 75.2%
Ball Control LONG MORG
Rebounds 39.5 28.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 7.5
Turnovers 11.2 13.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.0
Steals 7.5 5.5
Fouls 14.7 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG MORG
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 76.4 66.2
% of Possessions with LONG MORG
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 18.0%
Player Fouled 25.5% 20.3%
Turnover 15.5% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG MORG
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 42.6% 23.7%