NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG CAMP
Points 76.2 70.4
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 24.7
Points From Free Throws 11.2 13.3
Shooting LONG CAMP
Field Goals Made 28.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 50.7
Field Goal % 47.3% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 11.2 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 18.5
Free Throw % 68.6% 71.6%
Ball Control LONG CAMP
Rebounds 37.1 27.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 5.3
Turnovers 10.4 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.8
Steals 7.1 5.6
Fouls 16.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG CAMP
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 61.8
% of Possessions with LONG CAMP
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 29.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 24.1%
Turnover 15.1% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG CAMP
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 37.9% 18.2%