NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG STET
Points 75.0 75.2
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 44.2 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 29.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.8
Shooting LONG STET
Field Goals Made 28.1 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 53.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.1 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 18.4
Free Throw % 68.6% 75.1%
Ball Control LONG STET
Rebounds 37.6 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 6.7
Turnovers 8.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.9
Steals 5.8 4.8
Fouls 16.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG STET
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 64.5
% of Possessions with LONG STET
2 Point Attempt 54.2% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 33.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.8%
Turnover 12.5% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG STET
Shot Blocked 5.4% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 38.4% 22.5%