NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG IOWA
Points 72.4 86.9
Total Points   159.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 46.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 23.0
Points From Free Throws 15.0 17.6
Shooting LONG IOWA
Field Goals Made 25.7 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 56.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 55.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 63.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 15.0 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 22.7
Free Throw % 68.6% 77.4%
Ball Control LONG IOWA
Rebounds 33.9 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 7.2
Turnovers 11.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.2
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 17.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG IOWA
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 69.9
% of Possessions with LONG IOWA
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 24.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 24.3%
Turnover 15.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG IOWA
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 25.3%