NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG NIU
Points 74.9 71.2
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 24.3
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.6
Shooting LONG NIU
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 51.7
Field Goal % 42.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 21.7
Free Throw % 68.6% 67.4%
Ball Control LONG NIU
Rebounds 38.1 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 7.7
Turnovers 9.6 12.9
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.3
Steals 7.0 4.3
Fouls 18.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG NIU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 65.4
% of Possessions with LONG NIU
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 29.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 25.9%
Turnover 13.6% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG NIU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 36.9% 24.3%