NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CALBA KC
Points 64.8 65.6
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 18.8
Points From Free Throws 18.5 11.3
Shooting CALBA KC
Field Goals Made 20.4 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 56.6
Field Goal % 40.3% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 18.5 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 15.7
Free Throw % 69.6% 72.1%
Ball Control CALBA KC
Rebounds 35.9 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.2
Turnovers 10.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.0
Steals 3.6 4.5
Fouls 14.8 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CALBA KC
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 66.4
% of Possessions with CALBA KC
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 24.6%
Player Fouled 27.6% 21.9%
Turnover 15.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CALBA KC
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 23.4%