NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG HP
Points 72.4 79.6
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 25.0
Points From Free Throws 17.7 19.4
Shooting LONG HP
Field Goals Made 25.0 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 53.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.1 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 17.7 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 24.9
Free Throw % 68.6% 77.9%
Ball Control LONG HP
Rebounds 32.9 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.7
Turnovers 9.1 11.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.1
Steals 5.1 4.7
Fouls 19.1 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG HP
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 69.2
% of Possessions with LONG HP
2 Point Attempt 52.7% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 16.2% 29.1%
Player Fouled 25.1% 27.0%
Turnover 12.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG HP
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 31.4%