NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG HAMP
Points 76.1 66.7
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 21.4
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.8
Shooting LONG HAMP
Field Goals Made 27.7 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 54.7
Field Goal % 44.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 17.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.7%
Ball Control LONG HAMP
Rebounds 41.1 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 7.7
Turnovers 9.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.3
Steals 7.2 4.9
Fouls 15.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG HAMP
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.9 65.8
% of Possessions with LONG HAMP
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 28.6%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.8%
Turnover 13.4% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG HAMP
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 38.6% 22.7%