NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG USD
Points 73.2 73.1
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 23.3
Points From Free Throws 18.7 14.4
Shooting LONG USD
Field Goals Made 24.4 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 53.2
Field Goal % 43.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 18.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 20.0
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.1%
Ball Control LONG USD
Rebounds 36.2 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 7.7
Turnovers 12.2 13.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.8
Steals 7.7 7.0
Fouls 16.0 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG USD
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 65.9
% of Possessions with LONG USD
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 25.6%
Player Fouled 25.5% 22.2%
Turnover 16.9% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG USD
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 35.8% 24.8%