NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CALBA UTRGV
Points 74.4 66.2
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 11.8
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.7
Shooting CALBA UTRGV
Field Goals Made 26.8 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 56.3
Field Goal % 45.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 3.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 13.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 19.3
Free Throw % 69.6% 71.1%
Ball Control CALBA UTRGV
Rebounds 40.9 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 6.2
Turnovers 10.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.5
Steals 3.9 5.5
Fouls 15.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CALBA UTRGV
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 67.5
% of Possessions with CALBA UTRGV
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 54.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 16.8%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.6%
Turnover 15.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CALBA UTRGV
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 17.6%