NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU UND
Points 66.0 68.1
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 19.6
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.6
Shooting WIU UND
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 62.6
Field Goal % 42.0% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 44.1 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 16.2
Free Throw % 62.4% 71.7%
Ball Control WIU UND
Rebounds 41.6 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.4
Turnovers 10.6 7.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.2
Steals 4.5 6.6
Fouls 13.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: North Dakota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU UND
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 72.2
% of Possessions with WIU UND
2 Point Attempt 53.3% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 18.8% 26.6%
Player Fouled 19.2% 19.5%
Turnover 15.6% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU UND
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 28.7%